There is no universal agreement in open sources about the nature of the current Iran-Russia alliance. The new power couple: Russia and Iran in the Middle East. By Conn Hallinan, April 19, 2018. Russia's national security secretary told his U.S. and Israeli counterparts that it was "inadmissible" to compare Iran to ISIS, which both Moscow and Tehran fought together in Syria. American Competitiveness & Economic Diplomacy, Disrupting the Russian-Iranian Rapprochement, As Climate Envoy, John Kerry will lead Climate Action from the National Security Council, Building Caribbean Resilience with Fossil Fuel Revenues, Sanctions on Nord Stream 2? function checkMandatory() { Information, Knowledge, Policy. In addition to providing support to the Iraqi government in their fight against IS, Iran has been providing direct military support for Assad- a longtime ally -since the uprising’s early days. fieldObj.focus(); President Assad is not pleased with the way the Syrian air defense batteries are being destroyed every time there is a clash between Israel and Iran on Syrian territory. Meanwhile, Libya and Algeria are already closely aligned with Russia and hostile to Israel, and Sudan is a radical Islamic Sunni state allied with Iran and Russia that is anti-Israel. } var name=''; There will be a continuing demand for qualified individuals to fill positions across the 17 organizations that compose the IC. Iran’s military objectives in Syria and Russia’s contradictory positions. The China-Russia-Iran Arms Alliance ... That would set up another fight when Iran, China and Russia take the side of lawlessness at the highest echelons of a global institution. Russia intervened in late 2015 with airpower, weapons support, money, and limited numbers of Special Forces on the ground. } else if(fieldObj.nodeName=='SELECT') { '); Now with the opposition shrinking and IS on the run in both Iraq and Syria, the question is what the post-war Middle East will look like. For example, at the end of 2019, Russia, China, and Iran held exercises in the Gulf of Oman, and in 2015 even in the Mediterranean Sea, which is quite far from the coast of China, but close to the ports of Greece and Italy, which are gradually coming under the operational control of China. if(fieldObj.checked == false){ Intelligence analysis techniques and methods are used to draw logical conclusions and produce knowledge from this raw data. The joint drills are being carried out at the heart of the zone of US maritime influence. But even without trade ties, for the near future, Russia and Iran simply have too much in common to be divided. The New York Times bestselling author of Rise of ISIS exposes the dangers of radical Islam and the effects it has on the American way of life in this informative and eye-opening new book. The U.S. has largely been silent on the emerging Russo-Iranian alliance, saving their criticisms for the Iran Nuclear Deal. For its part, Iran would have preferred Russia did not support sanctions at all. name = fieldObj.value; 23rd June 2020. Henley-Putnam Faculty members are leaders from world renowned strategic security organizations: To request an application or get information about any of our strategic security programs, fill out the form below. Perspective – Beijing's Quandary: Clean or Dirty Growth? An Admissions Advisor will be in touch within one business day to answer your questions. The purpose of this alliance is to strengthen cooperation in order to resolve the issues in the region. American Security Project, As the U.S. seeks to strengthen its position in the South China Sea, this paper examines strategies to increase American leadership and boost allies in the region. To weaken the Russia-Iran … return false; This is a potentially dangerous move. Persia/Iran was a potential gateway or barrier for Russian goals. return false; Washington should reassure its regional allies that they can count on its support and that it is taking these developments– and their concerns –seriously. if (((fieldObj.value).replace(/^s+|s+$/g, '')).length==0) { The envoy proposed an alliance of 5 states – Turkey, Pakistan, Iran, Russia and China. } ..Find out more, Posted by Andrew HollandNov 24, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Annie AlemanDec 03, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectOct 13, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandJun 24, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectJan 02, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandDec 11, 2019 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectNov 04, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandJul 12, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandMay 23, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandApr 22, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandMar 05, 2019 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectFeb 21, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandDec 11, 2018 | Read More, Posted by Connor WagnerOct 15, 2018 | Read More, Posted by Alicia OrrDec 03, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Matthew WallinDec 01, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Katie FoleyNov 25, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Olivia PoppNov 23, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Juan SotoNov 19, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Olivia PoppNov 18, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Benjamin PullenNov 16, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Patrick HinesNov 16, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Olivia PoppNov 13, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Alicia OrrNov 12, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Matthew WallinSep 29, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectSep 21, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectSep 01, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectAug 26, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectAug 19, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectJun 17, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectJun 03, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectApr 14, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectMar 19, 2020 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectDec 06, 2019 | Read More, Posted by American Security ProjectOct 16, 2019 | Read More, Posted by John MadeiraSep 11, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Matthew WallinFeb 28, 2020 | Read More, Posted by Alexandra HackbarthSep 27, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandSep 17, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Matthew WallinFeb 28, 2019 | Read More, Posted by Andrew HollandDec 19, 2018 | Read More. Or contact us directly at 888-852-8746, admissionsadvising@henley-putnam.edu1.888.852.8746 ext. } alert('Please select a file to upload. if(fieldObj.name == 'Last Name') { ..Find out more, Perspective – Arctic Climate Change: Implications for U.S. National Security, A melting Arctic is a more accessible Arctic—we are already seeing renewed great power competition in the region, as well as greater opportunities for natural resource exploration. An unusual triple alliance is emerging from the Syrian war — one that could alter the balance of power in the Middle East, unhinge the NATO alliance, and complicate the Trump administration’s designs on Iran. if(fieldObj.type =='file') } The needed information is identified as ‘intelligence requirements.’ The Intelligence Community (IC) agencies are tasked to collect information relevant to the requirements. European Council on Foreign Relations. This knowledge is communicated to the highest levels of government through the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), defined as a strategic estimate of the capabilities, vulnerabilities, and probable courses of action of foreign nations produced at the national level as a composite of the views of the IC.1 The policymakers use the NIE to formulate strategic policies. Iran’s goal is to circumvent US sanctions and the arms embargo so that it can acquire more weapons. } else if(fieldObj.type =='checkbox'){ Writing for Al-Akhbar, an Arabic daily newspaper, editor-in-chief Ibrahim al-Amin said that the five groups engaged in secret discussions and created a military alliance referred to as the ‘4+1.’ Russia-Iran: A Strategic Alliance of Enemies . Qualified individuals have made the effort to gain the knowledge, skills, and abilities to deal with current challenges. Fact Sheet – Will China's Future be Cleaner? Currently Russia and Iran act as economic partners to one anoth… if(fieldObj.options[fieldObj.selectedIndex].value=='-None-') { alert(fldLangVal[i] +' cannot be empty. God has set aside two whole chapters in the Bible to warn all Mankind of this coming war.. GOD warns Iran (Persia), being fully directed, commanded, and controlled by Russia (Magog), along with a coalition of allies (including Turkey) WILL go to war and will attack and invade Israel.. Terms amended 2014. Thus, the poignant observation was made by AEI that some Iranians characterized the current Russia-Iran relationship as one based on a mutual antagonism toward both the United States and Sunni radicalism2; this observation needs a response in the form of an objective intelligence analysis. The Strategic Convergence of Russia and Iran. ..Find out more, Fact Sheet – Nuclear Arsenals of the U.S., Russia, and China, This fact sheet explores the basic statistics behind each country's nuclear capabilities and explores the prospects of Chinese inclusion in a trilateral nuclear agreement with Russia and the United States. Even as Iran struggled to stave off a catastrophe for the Assad government, Russia saw an opportunity to boost Russian prestige and reassert Russian influence in the Middle East. Iran continued to invest money and manpower in the form of Shia militias recruited and paid for by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard (IRG). The profound complexities of the Syrian conflict combined with the dramatic and rapid military and political evolutions provide an intelligence environment where biases can pervade the intelligence analysis process to support strategic security assessments. Open Democracy. Of course, difficulties remained in the Russia-Iran relationship. Trade between Russia and Iran has roughly doubled in the last year, with Iran claiming trade with Russia could soon surpass $10 billion. { In this situation, the fundamental differences between Russian interests and goals and Iranian interest and goals suggest that the Russia-Iran alliance is fragile in the short term and will not survive in the long term if the radical theocracy continues to pursue religious and political hegemony in the region. The U.S. needs its Middle Eastern partners to feel confident in themselves and U.S. leadership to unite and counter rising Russo-Iranian influence. Iran enjoys Russia as a strategic partner and a supplier of arms and military defense systems. — Russia exports $2 billion of metal and machinery to Iran a year — Russia has supplied nuclear technology to Iran, including the $1 billion Bushehr reactor — Russia is a key supplier of arms to Iran, including a $700 million air-defence system, MiG29 combat aircraft and T72 tanks Some hypothesize that it can never go far enough, due to cautious attitudes rooted in historical mistrust and competition. '); As Iraq’s Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi declares victory against a waning IS in the strategic town of Tal Afar, Iran has worked to extend cooperation and exert influence over its neighbor while Iraq has also sought deeper cooperation Russia in multiple areas. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Netanyahu has accused Iran of building a missile factory in Syria as part of a plan to dig in and surround Israel, as well as claiming Russia is defending the factory with its advanced S-400 surface-to-air missile system. '); The U.S. Constitution mandates that the government take actions to protect the citizens of the United States of America. Perspective – U.S. Strategy in the South China Sea, By: In turn, the Russians gained international prestige and a new level of influence in the Middle East. Such is the case in evaluating the current relationship between Russia and Iran. But even those who doubt the alliance differ in why it’s destined for failure. However, while the Iranian money, weapons, and combat manpower saved Assad for the moment, the Iranian contributions were insufficient to bring a conclusion to the civil war or assure the survival of the Assad regime. The Russian contribution was dramatic in creating a positive shift on the battlefield in favor of the Assad regime. Understanding War.Retrieved from: http://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/strategic-convergence-russia-and-iran, Geranmayeh, E. & Liik, K. (2016). However, this would also mean supporting a Saudi-led, predominately Sunni Muslim alliance, which has already made questionable decisions in Yemen and Qatar and could further aggravate Sunni-Shia tensions. It appears the Iran-Russia relationship may be more robust than experts had thought. American policymakers should take this seriously. fieldObj.focus(); } The prospect unsettles US allies like Israel, and Russia and Iran could attract other longtime U.S. partners like Egypt to their team. Russia-Israel alliance grows, while Russia-Iran alliance frays in Syria Netanyahu’s statement, quoted above, confirms something that has been increasingly clear for at least two years: Israel’s alliance with Russia is growing, and Russia is doing nothing to … Historically, Russia and Iran have never been a part of such an alliance (at least until recently). return false; The longevity and future of the Russian-Iranian alliance is still debatable, but despite hopes and claims to the contrary, it’s not going anywhere soon. It signals the end of US absolute hegemony and control of the Middle East- and of the world. Their relationship rests on a deep foundation of common strategic objectives and interests.” Their shared goals for the region include boosting Assad, seducing Western allies like Egypt and Turkey, weakening Western institutions, and reducing or destroying the West’s regional influence. And Russia’s dramatic entry into the conflict in 2015, providing air and battlefield support to Assad’s exhausted army, has been a life-saver for his regime. Retrieved from: www.aei.org/publication/iran-russia-relations, Kozak, C. (2017). This is not unfounded, as Iran and Russia have a long and difficult history. Retrieved from:http://carnegieendowment.org/sada/61521. These new economic and commercial ties are changing the entire nature of Russo-Iranian cooperation, strengthening and deepening their alliance as the nations become more interconnected across numerous fields. The U.S. Intelligence Community faces a series of challenges as the IC strives to support strategic security policymakers. Mutual relations have often been turbulent, and dormant at other times. Despite his efforts, Netanyahu went home empty handed, fighting off claims that Putin blatantly rejected his request while affirming that Tehran is Russia’s primary regional ally. The Iranian Shia theocratic government has stated aspirations to extend Shia influence, and associated Iranian influence, through a ‘Shiite arc of influence’ from Iran across Iraq and the Levant. Past and present contact between Russiaand Iran have long been complicatedly multi-faceted; often wavering between collaboration and rivalry. Join our mailing list to receive weekly newsletters and exclusive invites to upcoming events. ... Is the alliance of Russia, Turkey, and Iran a … Even though the Russia-Iran alliance appears robust, both countries’ divergent strategic visions could render the partnership unsustainable in the long-term. fieldObj.focus(); And it looks increasingly likely that Iran and Russia will play a key role in that new order. National American University is accredited by the Higher Learning Commission (hlcommission.org), a regional accreditation agency recognized by the U.S. Department of Education. fieldObj.focus(); As Chris Kozak of the Institute for the Study of War wrote in February: “There is nothing unnatural, artificial, or inherently temporary about the coalition between Russia and Iran. Strategic intelligence is the foundation for these policies; strategic intelligence is defined as the intelligence required for the formation of policy and military plans at national and international levels.1 Strategic intelligence and tactical intelligence differ primarily in level of application, but may also vary in terms of scope and detail.1 The intelligence process to support the national security policymakers is straightforward in concept but complicated in execution. Online education is an excellent resource to obtain the qualifications necessary to successfully compete in the strategic security and intelligence profession job markets. The eventual fate of the Russia-Iran alliance should be examined through the critical lenses of analytic methods such as analysis of competing hypotheses, Red Teams, outcome assessment, and timelines, to identify some of the analysis methods to bring clarity and objectivity to the conclusions. Others have asserted that Russia has little influence over Iran, and the two will naturally drift apart over time. Now, in 2017, the question is what the region will look like once IS and the moderate opposition in Syria are defeated. Russia’s Long-Term Aims in Syria. (2016). However, the incomplete nature of the information often results in the intelligence analysis producing a divergence in the conclusions reached by the IC members and other groups performing the analyses. Russia has a long-term project, known as the greater Eurasia partnership, and Iran is a project participant. The unusual triple alliance coming out of Syria could change the regional balance of power and unhinge NATO — if it holds together at all. Relations between the Grand Duchy of Moscow and the Persian Empire (Iran), officially commenced in 1521, with the Safavids in power. Image source: CNN. The Gog of Magog Alliance Ezekiel identifies the nations in this alliance as "Magog, Rosh, Meschech, Tubal, Persia, Cush, Put, Gomer, and Beth-togarmah" ( Ezekiel 38:1-6 ). Neither Russian goal has changed in the 21st century. } try { China and Iran are rumored to be finalizing a $400 billion deal which would deepen economic, political, and militarily ties between two of America's chief adversaries. The Assad regime identifies as Alawite, an offshoot of Shia, making the Assad regime essential to build the ‘Shiite arc of influence’ in a Sunni-majority Syria. for(i=0;i

alliance russie iran

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